Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068556 0.075954 0.084064 0.093660 0.104759 0.117262 0.132506
2024-10-13 0.055810 0.065446 0.076853 0.091522 0.110133 0.133306 0.164903
2024-10-20 0.048521 0.059472 0.073248 0.092219 0.118271 0.153744 0.207478
2024-10-27 0.042766 0.054249 0.069404 0.091466 0.123839 0.171493 0.250958
2024-11-03 0.039035 0.050997 0.067457 0.092637 0.131902 0.194141 0.308305
2024-11-10 0.036049 0.048295 0.065760 0.093669 0.139649 0.217739 0.374916
2024-11-17 0.033246 0.045477 0.063452 0.093262 0.144785 0.237882 0.442267
2024-11-24 0.031245 0.043585 0.062244 0.094316 0.152429 0.264232 0.533221
2024-12-01 0.029539 0.041941 0.061187 0.095386 0.160181 0.292677 0.642453
2024-12-08 0.028001 0.040396 0.060090 0.096171 0.167455 0.322037 0.769988
2024-12-15 0.026483 0.038741 0.058620 0.096043 0.172829 0.348647 0.906081
2024-12-22 0.024944 0.036920 0.056687 0.094776 0.175556 0.369738 1.039094
2024-12-29 0.024043 0.036100 0.056431 0.096760 0.185932 0.414191 1.295060
2025-01-05 0.022658 0.034365 0.054414 0.095019 0.187581 0.435946 1.483106
2025-01-12 0.021785 0.033439 0.053760 0.095961 0.195797 0.479858 1.823896
2025-01-19 0.020768 0.032189 0.052402 0.095254 0.199834 0.512758 2.155552
2025-01-26 0.020089 0.031484 0.051995 0.096527 0.209245 0.567537 2.712869
2025-02-02 0.019443 0.030789 0.051541 0.097633 0.218492 0.626456 3.432792
2025-02-09 0.018672 0.029818 0.050472 0.097209 0.223423 0.671907 4.169958
2025-02-16 0.018125 0.029221 0.050087 0.098326 0.233120 0.742233 5.397262
2025-02-23 0.017616 0.028660 0.049728 0.099458 0.243189 0.820776 7.102807
2025-03-02 0.017110 0.028074 0.049269 0.100288 0.252577 0.902917 9.404283
2025-03-09 0.016548 0.027347 0.048462 0.100153 0.258849 0.974395 12.146607